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Last Model Run: 11/26 12:22 PM

Model Performance (634 games, Through Week 13)

Straight Up

633 picks
72.2%
457-176

Against the Spread

630 picks
53.8%
330-283-17
Teased +10: 78.4% 490-135-5

Over/Under

627 picks
54.5%
342-285-6
Teased +10: 78.7% 496-134-3

Filter Games by Team Records

Showing 65 games
Navy

Navy

+170

8-2 • ATS: 3-7 • O/U: 8-2

25.9

Raw: 23.3 • Adj: 25.9

+4.5

Nov 27 • 7:30PM ET

VS
O/U 57.5 Model: 56.5 (u)
Memphis

Memphis

-205

8-3 • ATS: 8-3 • O/U: 6-5

30.4

Raw: 24.4 • Adj: 30.4

-4.5
39.1%
60.9%
Spread Pick

Memphis +5.5 (-409)(54% Cover Probability)

Home Favorite Edge 0.1 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 68.5 (-316)(69% Hit Probability)

Edge 12.2 pts

Ole Miss
#5

Ole Miss

-290

10-1 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 6-5

31.3

Raw: 27.4 • Adj: 31.3

-7

Nov 28 • 12:00PM ET

VS
O/U 62.5 Model: 59 (u)
Mississippi State

Mississippi State

+235

5-6 • ATS: 8-3 • O/U: 6-5

27.7

Raw: 21.8 • Adj: 27.7

+7
58%
42%
Spread Pick

Mississippi State +16.5 (-323)(77% Cover Probability)

Home Dog Edge 3.4 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 72.5 (-312)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 13.5 pts

Kent State

Kent State

+164

4-7 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 5-6

20.5

Raw: 20.2 • Adj: 20.5

+5

Nov 28 • 12:00PM ET

VS
O/U 45 Model: 40 (u)
Northern Illinois

Northern Illinois

-198

3-8 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 5-6

19.7

Raw: 18.3 • Adj: 19.7

-5
51.8%
48.2%
Spread Pick

Northern Illinois +4 (-373)(54% Cover Probability)

Away Dog Edge 4.2 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 55.5 (-371)(86% Hit Probability)

Edge 15.3 pts

Ohio

Ohio

-270

7-4 • ATS: 5-5-1 • O/U: 5-6

24.8

Raw: 22.1 • Adj: 24.8

-7

Nov 28 • 12:00PM ET

VS
O/U 44 Model: 42.5 (u)
Buffalo

Buffalo

+220

5-6 • ATS: 3-7-1 • O/U: 6-5

17.8

Raw: 16.5 • Adj: 17.8

+7
67.3%
32.7%
Spread Pick

Buffalo +16.5 (-330)(77% Cover Probability)

Away Favorite Edge 0.0 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 54.5 (-365)(75% Hit Probability)

Edge 11.8 pts

Utah
#13

Utah

-455

9-2 • ATS: 8-3 • O/U: 8-3

34.2

Raw: 17.9 • Adj: 34.2

-12.5

Nov 28 • 12:00PM ET

VS
O/U 60.5 Model: 58.5 (u)
Kansas

Kansas

+350

5-6 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 4-6

24.5

Raw: 23.0 • Adj: 24.5

+12.5
73.6%
26.4%
Spread Pick

Kansas +22.5 (-368)(79% Cover Probability)

Home Dog Edge 2.8 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 67.5 (-249)(73% Hit Probability)

Edge 8.8 pts

Iowa

Iowa

-238

7-4 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 4-6

23.2

Raw: 21.8 • Adj: 23.2

-6

Nov 28 • 12:00PM ET

VS
O/U 38.5 Model: 40 (o)
Nebraska

Nebraska

+195

7-4 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 8-3

16.7

Raw: 16.7

+6
66%
34%
Spread Pick

Nebraska +15.5 (-359)(77% Cover Probability)

Away Favorite Edge 0.5 pts

Total Pick

OVER 28.5 (-421)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 11.4 pts

Air Force

Air Force

-142

3-8 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 6-5

20.7

Raw: 17.8 • Adj: 20.7

-2.5

Nov 28 • 3:00PM ET

VS
O/U 45.5 Model: 39.5 (u)
Colorado State

Colorado State

+120

2-9 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 4-7

18.7

Raw: 19.5 • Adj: 18.7

+2.5
55.1%
44.9%
Spread Pick

Air Force +7.5 (-536)(68% Cover Probability)

Home Dog Edge 0.6 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 55.5 (-340)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 16.1 pts

San Diego State

San Diego State

-120

9-2 • ATS: 9-2 • O/U: 3-8

20.5

Raw: 18.1 • Adj: 20.5

-1.5

Nov 28 • 3:30PM ET

VS
O/U 41 Model: 45 (o)
New Mexico

New Mexico

+100

8-3 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 4-7

24.7

Raw: 29.5 • Adj: 24.7

+1.5
40.6%
59.4%
Spread Pick

New Mexico +11.5 (-589)(78% Cover Probability)

Away Favorite Edge 2.7 pts

Total Pick

OVER 31.5 (-379)(78% Hit Probability)

Edge 13.7 pts

Temple

Temple

+850

5-6 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 7-4

21.9

Raw: 16.8 • Adj: 21.9

+19.5

Nov 28 • 3:30PM ET

VS
O/U 65.5 Model: 62.5 (u)
North Texas
#22

North Texas

-1450

10-1 • ATS: 9-2 • O/U: 8-3

40.5

Raw: 26.0 • Adj: 40.5

-19.5
11.5%
88.5%
Spread Pick

North Texas -9.5 (-359)(78% Cover Probability)

Away Dog Edge 0.8 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 75.5 (-338)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 13.1 pts

Georgia
#4

Georgia

-575

10-1 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 4-7

31.1

Raw: 22.4 • Adj: 31.1

-13.5

Nov 28 • 3:30PM ET

VS
O/U 59.5 Model: 57.5 (u)
Georgia Tech
#15

Georgia Tech

+425

9-2 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 7-4

26.5

Raw: 22.4 • Adj: 26.5

+13.5
61.2%
38.8%
Spread Pick

Georgia Tech +23.5 (-322)(78% Cover Probability)

Home Dog Edge 8.9 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 69.5 (-333)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 11.9 pts

Boise State

Boise State

-166

7-4 • ATS: 8-3 • O/U: 6-5

27.9

Raw: 27.2 • Adj: 27.9

-3.5

Nov 28 • 4:00PM ET

VS
O/U 56 Model: 53 (u)
Utah State

Utah State

+140

6-5 • ATS: 9-2 • O/U: 5-6

25.3

Raw: 24.2 • Adj: 25.3

+3.5
55.6%
44.4%
Spread Pick

Utah State +13.5 (-393)(78% Cover Probability)

Home Dog Edge 1.0 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 65.5 (-293)(78% Hit Probability)

Edge 12.3 pts

Indiana
#2

Indiana

-4500

11-0 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 7-4

37.8

Raw: 25.7 • Adj: 37.8

-28.5

Nov 28 • 7:30PM ET

VS
O/U 54.5 Model: 51 (u)
Purdue

Purdue

+1700

2-9 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 3-8

13.1

Raw: 16.8 • Adj: 13.1

+28.5
93.7%
6.3%
Spread Pick

Purdue +38.5 (-319)(78% Cover Probability)

Home Dog Edge 3.8 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 64.5 (-363)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 13.7 pts

Texas A&M
#3

Texas A&M

-130

11-0 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 8-3

28.4

Raw: 23.7 • Adj: 28.4

-2

Nov 28 • 7:30PM ET

VS
O/U 51.5 Model: 54 (o)
Texas
#17

Texas

+110

8-3 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 5-6

25.4

Raw: 21.7 • Adj: 25.4

+2
56.7%
43.3%
Spread Pick

Texas A&M +8 (-437)(68% Cover Probability)

Away Favorite Edge 0.9 pts

Total Pick

OVER 41.5 (-343)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 12.3 pts

Arizona

Arizona

-125

8-3 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 4-7

25.9

Raw: 16.6 • Adj: 25.9

-1.5

Nov 28 • 9:00PM ET

VS
O/U 48.5 Model: 50 (o)
Arizona State

Arizona State

+105

8-3 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 4-7

23.9

Raw: 23.4 • Adj: 23.9

+1.5
54.9%
45.1%
Spread Pick

Arizona +8.5 (-427)(71% Cover Probability)

Away Favorite Edge 0.4 pts

Total Pick

OVER 38.5 (-296)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 11.3 pts

Texas Tech
#6

Texas Tech

-1650

10-1 • ATS: 9-2 • O/U: 5-6

34.5

Raw: 21.4 • Adj: 34.5

-23.5

Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET

VS
O/U 53.5 Model: 55.5 (o)
West Virginia

West Virginia

+950

4-7 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 6-5

20.8

Raw: 25.0 • Adj: 20.8

+23.5
80.8%
19.2%
Spread Pick

West Virginia +32.5 (-318)(76% Cover Probability)

Home Dog Edge 9.8 pts

Total Pick

OVER 43.5 (-385)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 11.8 pts

Ball State

Ball State

+675

4-7 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 4-7

10.9

Raw: 18.4 • Adj: 10.9

+17.5

Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET

VS
O/U 41.5 Model: 36 (u)
Miami (OH)

Miami (OH)

-1050

6-5 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 6-5

24.9

Raw: 17.9 • Adj: 24.9

-17.5
19.6%
80.4%
Spread Pick

Ball State +27.5 (-406)(78% Cover Probability)

Away Dog Edge 3.5 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 52.5 (-404)(86% Hit Probability)

Edge 16.7 pts

Toledo

Toledo

-410

7-4 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 6-5

25.7

Raw: 20.0 • Adj: 25.7

-10

Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET

VS
O/U 44.5 Model: 48.5 (o)
Central Michigan

Central Michigan

+320

7-4 • ATS: 8-3 • O/U: 7-4

23.0

Raw: 22.2 • Adj: 23.0

+10
56.5%
43.5%
Spread Pick

Central Michigan +19 (-302)(76% Cover Probability)

Home Dog Edge 7.3 pts

Total Pick

OVER 34.5 (-463)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 14.2 pts

East Carolina

East Carolina

-258

7-4 • ATS: 6-4-1 • O/U: 6-5

33.1

Raw: 23.9 • Adj: 33.1

-7

Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET

VS
O/U 65.5 Model: 64 (u)
Florida Atlantic

Florida Atlantic

+210

4-7 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 7-4

31.1

Raw: 24.5 • Adj: 31.1

+7
54.5%
45.5%
Spread Pick

Florida Atlantic +16.5 (-285)(77% Cover Probability)

Home Dog Edge 5.0 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 76.5 (-318)(68% Hit Probability)

Edge 12.3 pts

Clemson

Clemson

+120

6-5 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 4-7

25.9

Raw: 22.0 • Adj: 25.9

+2.5

Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET

VS
O/U 46.5 Model: 49 (o)
South Carolina

South Carolina

-142

4-7 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 5-6

23.3

Raw: 20.8 • Adj: 23.3

-2.5
56.4%
43.6%
Spread Pick

Clemson +12 (-462)(77% Cover Probability)

Home Favorite Edge 0.1 pts

Total Pick

OVER 36.5 (-349)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 12.7 pts

Iowa State

Iowa State

-600

7-4 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 4-6

26.8

Raw: 23.8 • Adj: 26.8

-14

Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET

VS
O/U 45.5 Model: 40.5 (u)
Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State

+440

1-10 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 5-6

13.7

Raw: 19.4 • Adj: 13.7

+14
79.2%
20.8%
Spread Pick

Oklahoma State +23.5 (-341)(77% Cover Probability)

Home Dog Edge 0.9 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 56.5 (-369)(83% Hit Probability)

Edge 15.9 pts

Kentucky

Kentucky

+124

5-6 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 7-4

17.8

Raw: 14.0 • Adj: 17.8

+3

Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET

VS
O/U 46.5 Model: 41.5 (u)
Louisville

Louisville

-148

7-4 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 5-6

23.6

Raw: 27.4 • Adj: 23.6

-3
36.2%
63.8%
Spread Pick

Louisville +6.5 (-426)(64% Cover Probability)

Home Favorite Edge 2.8 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 56.5 (-317)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 15.2 pts

Colorado

Colorado

+600

3-8 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 5-6

14.4

Raw: 18.2 • Adj: 14.4

+17

Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET

VS
O/U 49.5 Model: 46 (u)
Kansas State

Kansas State

-900

5-6 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 7-4

31.8

Raw: 24.2 • Adj: 31.8

-17
12.9%
87.1%
Spread Pick

Kansas State -8 (-300)(76% Cover Probability)

Home Favorite Edge 0.4 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 59.5 (-348)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 13.3 pts

Houston
#25

Houston

+120

8-3 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 7-4

21.6

Raw: 11.0 • Adj: 21.6

+2.5

Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET

VS
O/U 59.5 Model: 56 (u)
Baylor

Baylor

-142

5-6 • ATS: 2-9 • O/U: 6-5

34.3

Raw: 45.8 • Adj: 34.3

-2.5
25.4%
74.6%
Spread Pick

Baylor +7.5 (-329)(68% Cover Probability)

Home Favorite Edge 10.1 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 69.5 (-319)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 13.6 pts

Miami
#14

Miami

-270

9-2 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 4-7

29.5

Raw: 29.6 • Adj: 29.5

-6.5

Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET

VS
O/U 51 Model: 56.5 (o)
Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh

+220

8-3 • ATS: 8-3 • O/U: 9-2

26.9

Raw: 22.5 • Adj: 26.9

+6.5
56.3%
43.7%
Spread Pick

Pittsburgh +16 (-307)(77% Cover Probability)

Home Dog Edge 3.9 pts

Total Pick

OVER 40.5 (-360)(84% Hit Probability)

Edge 15.8 pts

Ohio State
#1

Ohio State

-395

11-0 • ATS: 9-1-1 • O/U: 4-7

28.2

Raw: 23.8 • Adj: 28.2

-10

Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET

VS
O/U 44.5 Model: 47.5 (o)
Michigan
#18

Michigan

+310

9-2 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 5-6

19.3

Raw: 20.0 • Adj: 19.3

+10
71.1%
28.9%
Spread Pick

Michigan +19.5 (-317)(77% Cover Probability)

Home Dog Edge 1.1 pts

Total Pick

OVER 34.5 (-364)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 13.0 pts

Florida International

Florida International

-395

6-5 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 5-6

29.1

Raw: 23.0 • Adj: 29.1

-9.5

Nov 29 • 1:00PM ET

VS
O/U 51.5 Model: 47 (u)
Sam Houston

Sam Houston

+310

2-9 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 7-4

17.7

Raw: 14.3 • Adj: 17.7

+9.5
78.5%
21.5%
Spread Pick

Sam Houston +19 (-304)(77% Cover Probability)

Away Favorite Edge 2.0 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 61.5 (-362)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 14.7 pts

UTEP

UTEP

+164

2-9 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 6-5

21.9

Raw: 14.8 • Adj: 21.9

+4

Nov 29 • 1:00PM ET

VS
O/U 55.5 Model: 49 (u)
Delaware

Delaware

-198

5-6 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 5-6

27.0

Raw: 25.2 • Adj: 27.0

-4
36.3%
63.7%
Spread Pick

Delaware +6 (-441)(58% Cover Probability)

Home Favorite Edge 1.1 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 64.5 (-291)(77% Hit Probability)

Edge 15.5 pts

UCF

UCF

+750

5-6 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 5-6

14.4

Raw: 21.9 • Adj: 14.4

+17.5

Nov 29 • 1:00PM ET

VS
O/U 46.5 Model: 44 (u)
BYU
#11

BYU

-1200

10-1 • ATS: 8-3 • O/U: 5-6

29.9

Raw: 23.3 • Adj: 29.9

-17.5
16.8%
83.2%
Spread Pick

BYU -7.5 (-337)(78% Cover Probability)

Away Dog Edge 2.0 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 56.5 (-365)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 12.3 pts

Georgia Southern

Georgia Southern

+260

5-6 • ATS: 5-5-1 • O/U: 7-4

25.9

Raw: 20.9 • Adj: 25.9

+9

Nov 29 • 1:30PM ET

VS
O/U 63.5 Model: 60.5 (u)
Marshall

Marshall

-325

5-6 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 6-5

34.7

Raw: 20.4 • Adj: 34.7

-9
29.3%
70.7%
Spread Pick

Marshall -2 (-311)(73% Cover Probability)

Away Dog Edge 0.2 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 73.5 (-308)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 12.9 pts

Georgia State

Georgia State

+1800

1-10 • ATS: 1-10 • O/U: 6-5

16.3

Raw: 18.3 • Adj: 16.3

+27

Nov 29 • 2:00PM ET

VS
O/U 58.5 Model: 52 (u)
Old Dominion

Old Dominion

-5000

8-3 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 5-6

35.5

Raw: 25.7 • Adj: 35.5

-27
12%
88%
Spread Pick

Georgia State +36 (-344)(76% Cover Probability)

Away Dog Edge 7.8 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 68.5 (-317)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 16.7 pts

Western Kentucky

Western Kentucky

-142

8-3 • ATS: 9-2 • O/U: 5-6

25.6

Raw: 20.5 • Adj: 25.6

-3

Nov 29 • 2:00PM ET

VS
O/U 55.5 Model: 53.5 (u)
Jacksonville State

Jacksonville State

+120

7-4 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 7-4

28.0

Raw: 28.9 • Adj: 28.0

+3
44.8%
55.2%
Spread Pick

Jacksonville State +12.5 (-382)(77% Cover Probability)

Home Dog Edge 0.6 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 65.5 (-309)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 12.0 pts

Louisiana Tech

Louisiana Tech

+114

6-5 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 4-7

20.1

Raw: 15.6 • Adj: 20.1

+2.5

Nov 29 • 2:00PM ET

VS
O/U 48.5 Model: 45.5 (u)
Missouri State

Missouri State

-135

7-4 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 3-8

25.3

Raw: 24.1 • Adj: 25.3

-2.5
37.1%
62.9%
Spread Pick

Missouri State +7.5 (-458)(68% Cover Probability)

Home Favorite Edge 2.7 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 59.5 (-319)(80% Hit Probability)

Edge 14.1 pts

Arkansas State

Arkansas State

+114

5-6 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 3-8

21.6

Raw: 19.7 • Adj: 21.6

+2.5

Nov 29 • 2:30PM ET

VS
O/U 54 Model: 48 (u)
App State

App State

-135

5-6 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 5-6

26.3

Raw: 25.7 • Adj: 26.3

-2.5
38.5%
61.5%
Spread Pick

App State +7.5 (-414)(68% Cover Probability)

Home Favorite Edge 2.2 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 64.5 (-303)(86% Hit Probability)

Edge 16.6 pts

UAB

UAB

+250

3-8 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 6-5

22.6

Raw: 20.2 • Adj: 22.6

+8.5

Nov 29 • 3:00PM ET

VS
O/U 58.5 Model: 52 (u)
Tulsa

Tulsa

-310

4-7 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 5-6

29.4

Raw: 23.0 • Adj: 29.4

-8.5
33.6%
66.4%
Spread Pick

Tulsa +1.5 (-375)(73% Cover Probability)

Away Dog Edge 1.7 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 69.5 (-354)(87% Hit Probability)

Edge 17.6 pts

Boston College

Boston College

-155

1-10 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 8-3

22.9

Raw: 19.7 • Adj: 22.9

-3

Nov 29 • 3:00PM ET

VS
O/U 52.5 Model: 41 (u)
Syracuse

Syracuse

+130

3-8 • ATS: 4-6-1 • O/U: 6-5

17.9

Raw: 19.1 • Adj: 17.9

+3
62.7%
37.3%
Spread Pick

Syracuse +12.5 (-373)(77% Cover Probability)

Away Favorite Edge 1.9 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 60.5 (-260)(75% Hit Probability)

Edge 19.7 pts

UL Monroe

UL Monroe

+295

3-8 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 5-6

15.4

Raw: 15.8 • Adj: 15.4

+9.5

Nov 29 • 3:00PM ET

VS
O/U 48.5 Model: 43 (u)
Louisiana

Louisiana

-375

5-6 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 7-4

27.7

Raw: 21.5 • Adj: 27.7

-9.5
22.5%
77.5%
Spread Pick

Louisiana -1.5 (-353)(75% Cover Probability)

Home Favorite Edge 2.8 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 58.5 (-398)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 15.4 pts

Middle Tennessee

Middle Tennessee

+154

2-9 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 5-6

24.1

Raw: 17.9 • Adj: 24.1

+4

Nov 29 • 3:00PM ET

VS
O/U 52.5 Model: 49 (u)
New Mexico State

New Mexico State

-185

4-7 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 4-7

24.7

Raw: 18.3 • Adj: 24.7

-4
48.3%
51.7%
Spread Pick

New Mexico State +5.5 (-423)(60% Cover Probability)

Away Dog Edge 3.4 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 62.5 (-330)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 13.7 pts

South Alabama

South Alabama

+275

4-7 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 7-4

27.9

Raw: 26.2 • Adj: 27.9

+9.5

Nov 29 • 3:00PM ET

VS
O/U 62.5 Model: 60.5 (u)
Texas State

Texas State

-345

5-6 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 6-5

32.4

Raw: 27.3 • Adj: 32.4

-9.5
39.7%
60.3%
Spread Pick

Texas State -1.5 (-334)(75% Cover Probability)

Away Dog Edge 4.9 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 72.5 (-330)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 12.2 pts

Vanderbilt
#12

Vanderbilt

+124

9-2 • ATS: 9-2 • O/U: 7-4

32.1

Raw: 22.2 • Adj: 32.1

+3

Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET

VS
O/U 66 Model: 64.5 (u)
Tennessee
#20

Tennessee

-148

8-3 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 7-4

32.2

Raw: 24.6 • Adj: 32.2

-3
49.8%
50.2%
Spread Pick

Tennessee +6 (-389)(65% Cover Probability)

Away Dog Edge 2.9 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 75.5 (-269)(78% Hit Probability)

Edge 11.2 pts

Missouri
#23

Missouri

-142

7-4 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 6-4

23.6

Raw: 22.3 • Adj: 23.6

-2.5

Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET

VS
O/U 55 Model: 50.5 (u)
Arkansas

Arkansas

+120

2-9 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 8-3

26.7

Raw: 26.0 • Adj: 26.7

+2.5
43.1%
56.9%
Spread Pick

Arkansas +12.5 (-393)(78% Cover Probability)

Away Favorite Edge 0.5 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 67.5 (-300)(80% Hit Probability)

Edge 17.2 pts

Troy

Troy

+205

7-4 • ATS: 8-3 • O/U: 5-6

24.3

Raw: 23.9 • Adj: 24.3

+6.5

Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET

VS
O/U 50.5 Model: 51.5 (o)
Southern Miss

Southern Miss

-250

7-4 • ATS: 5-5-1 • O/U: 6-5

27.1

Raw: 16.2 • Adj: 27.1

-6.5
43.1%
56.9%
Spread Pick

Southern Miss +3.5 (-439)(63% Cover Probability)

Away Dog Edge 3.7 pts

Total Pick

OVER 40.5 (-366)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 10.8 pts

Wake Forest

Wake Forest

-105

8-3 • ATS: 8-3 • O/U: 6-5

25.6

Raw: 16.6 • Adj: 25.6

+1.5

Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET

VS
O/U 55.5 Model: 55.5 (o)
Duke

Duke

-115

6-5 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 8-3

29.9

Raw: 23.9 • Adj: 29.9

-1.5
39.3%
60.7%
Spread Pick

Duke +8.5 (-335)(73% Cover Probability)

Home Favorite Edge 2.7 pts

Total Pick

OVER 45.5 (-315)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 10.0 pts

Wisconsin

Wisconsin

-108

4-7 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 2-9

18.9

Raw: 15.0 • Adj: 18.9

+0

Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET

VS
O/U 37.5 Model: 31.5 (u)
Minnesota

Minnesota

-112

6-5 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 6-5

12.5

Raw: 19.4 • Adj: 12.5

+0
66.3%
33.7%
Spread Pick

Pick +10 (-364)(75% Cover Probability)

Away Favorite Edge 6.4 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 47.5 (-402)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 16.1 pts

Oregon
#6

Oregon

-270

10-1 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 6-5

28.2

Raw: 24.2 • Adj: 28.2

-6.5

Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET

VS
O/U 51.5 Model: 52.5 (o)
Washington

Washington

+220

8-3 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 6-5

24.1

Raw: 23.0 • Adj: 24.1

+6.5
59.2%
40.8%
Spread Pick

Washington +16 (-344)(77% Cover Probability)

Home Dog Edge 2.4 pts

Total Pick

OVER 41.5 (-345)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 10.9 pts

Army

Army

+235

5-5 • ATS: 4-6 • O/U: 3-7

20.8

Raw: 23.5 • Adj: 20.8

+7.5

Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET

VS
O/U 52.5 Model: 51 (u)
UTSA

UTSA

-290

6-5 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 8-3

30.1

Raw: 25.3 • Adj: 30.1

-7.5
29.3%
70.7%
Spread Pick

UTSA +2.5 (-387)(68% Cover Probability)

Home Favorite Edge 1.8 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 62.5 (-380)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 11.6 pts

Cincinnati

Cincinnati

+150

7-4 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 6-5

26.0

Raw: 22.7 • Adj: 26.0

+3.5

Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET

VS
O/U 56.5 Model: 49.5 (u)
TCU

TCU

-180

7-4 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 5-6

23.5

Raw: 24.1 • Adj: 23.5

-3.5
56.5%
43.5%
Spread Pick

TCU +6.5 (-447)(63% Cover Probability)

Away Dog Edge 1.0 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 66.5 (-292)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 17.0 pts

LSU

LSU

+330

7-4 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 3-8

14.1

Raw: 17.8 • Adj: 14.1

+10

Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET

VS
O/U 36.5 Model: 35 (u)
Oklahoma
#8

Oklahoma

-425

9-2 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 2-9

21.0

Raw: 19.8 • Adj: 21.0

-10
32.5%
67.5%
Spread Pick

Oklahoma -1.5 (-396)(76% Cover Probability)

Away Dog Edge 3.1 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 46.5 (-373)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 11.4 pts

Kennesaw State

Kennesaw State

-130

8-3 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 4-7

27.4

Raw: 15.3 • Adj: 27.4

-2.5

Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET

VS
O/U 55.5 Model: 55 (u)
Liberty

Liberty

+110

4-7 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 5-6

27.6

Raw: 24.1 • Adj: 27.6

+2.5
49.4%
50.6%
Spread Pick

Liberty +12.5 (-412)(78% Cover Probability)

Home Dog Edge 2.3 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 65.5 (-324)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 10.4 pts

Penn State

Penn State

-520

5-6 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 7-4

29.2

Raw: 25.8 • Adj: 29.2

-13.5

Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET

VS
O/U 56.5 Model: 48 (u)
Rutgers

Rutgers

+390

5-6 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 6-5

18.9

Raw: 19.6 • Adj: 18.9

+13.5
74.4%
25.6%
Spread Pick

Rutgers +23.5 (-349)(78% Cover Probability)

Home Dog Edge 3.2 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 66.5 (-337)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 18.3 pts

James Madison
#21

James Madison

-2100

10-1 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 5-6

34.3

Raw: 21.0 • Adj: 34.3

-21.5

Nov 29 • 3:45PM ET

VS
O/U 53.5 Model: 53 (u)
Coastal Carolina

Coastal Carolina

+1100

6-5 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 7-4

18.8

Raw: 16.5 • Adj: 18.8

+21.5
84.1%
15.9%
Spread Pick

Coastal Carolina +31.5 (-375)(78% Cover Probability)

Home Dog Edge 6.1 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 63.5 (-350)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 10.4 pts

Florida State

Florida State

-108

5-6 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 4-7

19.6

Raw: 17.7 • Adj: 19.6

+1.5

Nov 29 • 4:30PM ET

VS
O/U 50.5 Model: 40.5 (u)
Florida

Florida

-112

3-8 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 4-7

21.0

Raw: 23.3 • Adj: 21.0

-1.5
46.4%
53.6%
Spread Pick

Florida +8.5 (-465)(73% Cover Probability)

Away Dog Edge 0.0 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 60.5 (-323)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 19.9 pts

Oregon State

Oregon State

+455

2-9 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 4-7

13.8

Raw: 19.7 • Adj: 13.8

+13.5

Nov 29 • 6:30PM ET

VS
O/U 41.5 Model: 38.5 (u)
Washington State

Washington State

-625

5-6 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 3-8

24.5

Raw: 24.9 • Adj: 24.5

-13.5
26.2%
73.8%
Spread Pick

Washington State -3.5 (-389)(78% Cover Probability)

Away Dog Edge 2.7 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 51.5 (-399)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 13.2 pts

Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech

+295

3-8 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 5-6

22.2

Raw: 20.9 • Adj: 22.2

+9.5

Nov 29 • 7:00PM ET

VS
O/U 52.5 Model: 48 (u)
Virginia
#19

Virginia

-375

9-2 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 4-7

25.6

Raw: 16.8 • Adj: 25.6

-9.5
41.5%
58.5%
Spread Pick

Virginia Tech +19 (-328)(77% Cover Probability)

Away Dog Edge 6.0 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 62.5 (-325)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 14.7 pts

Maryland

Maryland

+150

4-7 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 4-7

19.3

Raw: 18.0 • Adj: 19.3

+4

Nov 29 • 7:00PM ET

VS
O/U 48.5 Model: 39.5 (u)
Michigan State

Michigan State

-180

3-8 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 6-5

20.1

Raw: 16.7 • Adj: 20.1

-4
47.6%
52.4%
Spread Pick

Michigan State +5.5 (-381)(60% Cover Probability)

Away Dog Edge 3.1 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 58.5 (-330)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 19.1 pts

Rice

Rice

+1800

5-6 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 7-4

17.8

Raw: 19.2 • Adj: 17.8

+28

Nov 29 • 7:00PM ET

VS
O/U 60.5 Model: 61 (o)
South Florida

South Florida

-5000

8-3 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 7-4

43.4

Raw: 30.5 • Adj: 43.4

-28
8.7%
91.3%
Spread Pick

South Florida -19 (-347)(76% Cover Probability)

Away Dog Edge 2.4 pts

Total Pick

OVER 50.5 (-357)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 10.7 pts

Northwestern

Northwestern

+215

6-5 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 6-5

19.9

Raw: 13.0 • Adj: 19.9

+7

Nov 29 • 7:30PM ET

VS
O/U 45 Model: 45 (o)
Illinois

Illinois

-265

7-4 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 5-6

25.2

Raw: 24.1 • Adj: 25.2

-7
36.8%
63.2%
Spread Pick

Illinois +2.5 (-351)(66% Cover Probability)

Away Dog Edge 1.7 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 56.5 (-326)(64% Hit Probability)

Edge 11.5 pts

UCLA

UCLA

+950

3-8 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 6-5

19.8

Raw: 14.8 • Adj: 19.8

+21.5

Nov 29 • 7:30PM ET

VS
O/U 59.5 Model: 55.5 (u)
USC
#16

USC

-1650

8-3 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 6-5

35.9

Raw: 30.5 • Adj: 35.9

-21.5
13.7%
86.3%
Spread Pick

UCLA +30.5 (-337)(76% Cover Probability)

Away Dog Edge 5.4 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 69.5 (-329)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 13.8 pts

Alabama
#10

Alabama

-230

9-2 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 4-7

23.2

Raw: 21.6 • Adj: 23.2

-6

Nov 29 • 7:30PM ET

VS
O/U 46.5 Model: 40.5 (u)
Auburn

Auburn

+190

5-6 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 4-7

17.4

Raw: 21.2 • Adj: 17.4

+6
63.3%
36.7%
Spread Pick

Auburn +15.5 (-394)(77% Cover Probability)

Home Dog Edge 0.1 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 56.5 (-320)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 15.9 pts

Charlotte

Charlotte

+2200

1-10 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 6-5

12.5

Raw: 19.6 • Adj: 12.5

+29.5

Nov 29 • 7:30PM ET

VS
O/U 53.5 Model: 47.5 (u)
Tulane
#24

Tulane

-8000

9-2 • ATS: 5-5-1 • O/U: 4-7

35.1

Raw: 24.7 • Adj: 35.1

-29.5
7.8%
92.2%
Spread Pick

Charlotte +39.5 (-344)(78% Cover Probability)

Away Dog Edge 6.9 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 62.5 (-380)(77% Hit Probability)

Edge 15.0 pts

North Carolina

North Carolina

+250

4-7 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 4-7

19.3

Raw: 21.1 • Adj: 19.3

+7.5

Nov 29 • 7:30PM ET

VS
O/U 48 Model: 41 (u)
NC State

NC State

-310

6-5 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 6-5

21.5

Raw: 18.6 • Adj: 21.5

-7.5
44%
56%
Spread Pick

North Carolina +17.5 (-332)(78% Cover Probability)

Away Dog Edge 5.3 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 57.5 (-375)(78% Hit Probability)

Edge 16.7 pts

SMU

SMU

-550

8-3 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 3-8

30.8

Raw: 26.3 • Adj: 30.8

-13.5

Nov 29 • 8:00PM ET

VS
O/U 52.5 Model: 50 (u)
California

California

+410

6-5 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 3-8

19.1

Raw: 17.6 • Adj: 19.1

+13.5
74.8%
25.2%
Spread Pick

California +23.5 (-384)(78% Cover Probability)

Home Dog Edge 1.8 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 62.5 (-315)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 12.6 pts

UNLV

UNLV

-325

9-2 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 6-5

30.4

Raw: 22.2 • Adj: 30.4

-7.5

Nov 29 • 9:00PM ET

VS
O/U 53.5 Model: 52.5 (u)
Nevada

Nevada

+260

3-8 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 3-8

21.9

Raw: 20.3 • Adj: 21.9

+7.5
70.6%
29.4%
Spread Pick

Nevada +17.5 (-324)(78% Cover Probability)

Away Favorite Edge 1.0 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 63.5 (-361)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 11.1 pts

Notre Dame
#9

Notre Dame

-9000

9-2 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 5-6

39.3

Raw: 25.1 • Adj: 39.3

-32.5

Nov 29 • 10:30PM ET

VS
O/U 50.5 Model: 51.5 (o)
Stanford

Stanford

+2500

4-7 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 5-6

12.0

Raw: 15.1 • Adj: 12.0

+32.5
96.4%
3.6%
Spread Pick

Stanford +42.5 (-365)(78% Cover Probability)

Home Dog Edge 5.3 pts

Total Pick

OVER 40.5 (-426)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 10.8 pts

Fresno State

Fresno State

-155

7-4 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 4-7

18.2

Raw: 19.8 • Adj: 18.2

-3

Nov 29 • 10:30PM ET

VS
O/U 46.5 Model: 40.5 (u)
San José State

San José State

+130

3-8 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 6-5

22.1

Raw: 26.4 • Adj: 22.1

+3
40.4%
59.6%
Spread Pick

San José State +12.5 (-365)(77% Cover Probability)

Away Favorite Edge 0.8 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 56.5 (-349)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 16.2 pts

Wyoming

Wyoming

+260

4-7 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 2-9

18.5

Raw: 19.3 • Adj: 18.5

+7.5

Nov 29 • 11:00PM ET

VS
O/U 44.5 Model: 43.5 (u)
Hawai'i

Hawai'i

-325

7-4 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 4-7

25.0

Raw: 14.8 • Adj: 25.0

-7.5
34.6%
65.4%
Spread Pick

Hawai'i +2.5 (-423)(68% Cover Probability)

Away Dog Edge 1.0 pts

Total Pick

UNDER 54.5 (-363)(79% Hit Probability)

Edge 11.0 pts

💰

Friendly Disclaimer & Tipping Policy 😁

If you lose money: Definitely not my fault - these are just fun numbers from a computer!

If you win big: Obviously my brilliant algorithm deserves all the credit - tips gratefully accepted! 💰

Generated with CFB Advanced Analytics Engine

Data refreshed: 11/26 12:22 PM